43% of U.S. Voters Want to Pass Judgment on Administration in Midterm Elections... Record High

[Financial News] With about 44 days remaining until the midterm elections in the United States, public opinion is growing that people are voting to 'judge' the Donald Trump administration. In particular, this year's sentiment for judgment is at its most intense level since polling began in 1998.
NBC News released new poll results on the 20th (local time). The survey was conducted from the 11th to the 15th targeting 1,000 registered U.S. voters via telephone, text messages, and internet questionnaires. The margin of error was ±3.1%p.
NBC mentioned the November midterm elections in this survey and asked, "Do you plan to vote to express your support for or opposition to the President?" It reported that 43% of respondents answered "vote against," while 27% answered "vote in support."
The response rate for voting against the president was 35% during the 2022 midterm elections under the Joseph Robinette Biden Jr. administration. That figure was 38% during the 2018 midterm elections under the Donald Trump administration's first term.
The 43% dissenting vote response rate is the highest since NBC began the survey in 1998. The dissenting vote response rate for a second Trump administration was much higher than in the past, including Bill Clinton's second term in 1998 (23%), George Walker Bush's first term in 2002 (19%), Bush's second term in 2006 (37%), Barack Obama's first term in 2010 (34%), and Obama's second term in 2014 (32%).
The U.S. midterm elections are held in the second year of a four-year presidential term to elect approximately one-third of the Senate (six-year terms) and all members of the House of Representatives (two-year terms). They are characterized by a strong tendency to hold the administration accountable, and most past administrations have faced unfavorable results in midterm elections.
Jeff Horwitt, a Democratic pollster at the Hart Research Association, a U.S. polling organization, claimed, "Trump has achieved his goal of making this election about himself to a historic level."
In a poll released on the 20th, Trump's disapproval rating for his job performance stood at 56%. Not only the majority of Democratic and independent voters, but even 16% of Republican supporters gave a negative assessment. A strong positive rating stood at only 25%.
The response rate indicating that Trump's policies were harmful to the economy was 55%, while the response rate indicating they were beneficial was 26%.
In addition, the percentage of respondents who said they were unlikely to vote for a candidate supporting a war with Iran was 57%, while the percentage saying they were likely to vote for such a candidate was 24%. Regarding Trump's pledge to "pay $5,000 per adult citizen if the Republican Party wins," the response rate indicating they would vote for a candidate supporting this pledge was 21%, while the response rate indicating they would not was 46%.
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