43% of U.S. Voters Want to Rebuke Trump Administration in Midterm Elections, a Record High

[Financial News] With about 44 days remaining until the midterm elections, public sentiment is growing in the United States that voters will cast ballots to "rebuke" Donald Trump's administration. This year's anti-administration sentiment is particularly intense, reaching its highest level since the survey began in 1998.
The National Broadcasting Company (NBC) released the results of a new poll on the 20th (local time). The survey was conducted from the 11th to the 15th among 1,000 registered voters in the United States through telephone interviews, text messages and online surveys. The margin of error was ±3.1 percentage points.
NBC referred to the November midterm elections and asked, "Do you plan to vote to show support for or opposition to the president?" It reported that 43% of respondents said they would vote against the president, while 27% said they would vote in support of him.
The share of respondents who said they would vote against the president was 35% during the 2022 midterm elections under the administration of Joseph Robinette Biden Jr. The figure was 38% during the 2018 midterm elections under Donald Trump's first administration.
The 43% opposition figure is the highest recorded since NBC began conducting the survey in 1998. The opposition rate under Trump's second administration was far higher than the figures recorded during Bill Clinton's second term in 1998 at 23%, George Walker Bush's first term in 2002 at 19%, Bush's second term in 2006 at 37%, Barack Obama's first term in 2010 at 34%, and Obama's second term in 2014 at 32%.
U.S. midterm elections are held in the second year of the four-year presidential term to elect roughly one-third of the federal senators, who serve six-year terms, and all members of the House of Representatives, who serve two-year terms. They tend to function as a referendum on the administration, and most administrations in history have suffered unfavorable results in the midterms.
Jeff Horwitt, a Democratic pollster at Hart Research Associates, a U.S. polling firm, argued, "Trump has achieved his goal of making this election about himself at a historic level."
In the poll released on the 20th, 56% disapproved of Trump's job performance. In addition to most Democratic supporters and independents, 16% of Republican supporters also gave him a negative rating. Strong approval stood at just 25%.
Fifty-five percent of respondents said Trump's policies had harmed the economy, while 26% said they had benefited it.
In addition, 57% said they were unlikely to vote for a candidate who supports the war involving Iran, while 24% said they were likely to do so. Regarding Trump's pledge to pay $5,000 to each adult citizen if Republicans win, 21% said they would vote for a candidate who supports the pledge, while 46% said they would not.
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